Oscar Day is HERE! I’ve already posted my picks for all of the other categories (parts one, two, and three), below is my final prediction for Best Picture!
Best Picture American Sniper Birdman Boyhood The Grand Budapest Hotel The Imitation Game Selma The Theory of Everything Whiplash
Will Win: Birdman Could Win: Boyhood Should Win: Whiplash
Statistically speaking, this is a tight, tight race between Boyhood and Birdman with a little possibility of The Grand Budapest Hotel sprinkled in. The cinematic community loves to praise Boyhood, and with good reason, but it’s hard to separate the film from the way it was made. After I watched Boyhood I found myself asking “Would I have liked this as much if I had not known it was filmed over 12 years?” and I’m not sure I can answer that. If the answer to that question is no, is my evaluation of the film as a final product fair? These are questions that Academy voters have had to grapple with as well. That flicker of doubt aside, I thought Birdman was the better film. It was more entertaining and daring in a different way. It’s not without its flaws but definitely makes sense as the Best Picture winner this year. I still stand by my claim that Whiplash was the best movie made in 2014, but that’s just not how the Academy will vote. History has shown that Academy voters love movies about the artistic process and Birdman is all over that.
This is one of the first years since the new ‘up to 10 nominees’ system that I’ve been really, really pleased with every movie nominated. Usually there are 3 that are so clearly not in the same league as the winners that I sometimes never even bothered to see those films, but the spread is pretty even this year. American Sniper, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game, Selma, and the Theory of Everything are all great films but haven’t struck me with the kind of excitement that Birdman, Boyhood, and Whiplash have.
That wraps up all of the predictions! For one final look at other awards ceremonies you can check out last night’s results of the Independent Spirit Awards.
Red Carpet coverage on E! starts today at 12:30pm (even I think that’s excessive) with the show being broadcast on ABC at 7:30pm! (All times are CST). I will be live tweeting the show as well.
This is the first of three posts highlighting my Oscar picks and predictions for this Sunday’s show.
Part 1 includes: Best Cinematography, Best Costume Design, Foreign Language Film, Makeup & Hairstyling, Best Music (Original Score), Best Music (Original Song), Best Production Design, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing.
Best Cinematography Birdman, Emmanuel Lubezki The Grand Budapest Hotel, Robert D. Yeoman Ida, Ryszard Lenczweski; Lukasz Zal Mr. Turner, Dick Pope Unbroken, Roger Deakins Will Win: Birdman, Emmanuel Lubezki Could Win: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Robert D. Yeoman Should Win: Birdman, Emmanuel Lubezki
This should absolutely go to Emmanuel Lubezki, Birdman was nothing short of brilliantly framed choreography. His odds of winner are very good and if he does take home the Best Cinematography Oscar this will be his second year in a row. The Grand Budapest Hotel is great to look at, but I think that’s more of a testament to the production design than the cinematography. However, should the Academy lose their minds before voting, The Grand Budapest Hotel would make an excellent second choice to Birdman. (more…)
Do you want to get caught up on all of the Oscar Best Picture Nominees? Right now you’re in luck, as most movies are in wide release, but there’s a few you’ll need to make a special effort to track down. Buzzfeed posted the great list below of how to see each of the nominated films. I’ve also included where to see these films in the Madison area.
Nominated for: Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Film Editing, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing Where You Can See It: American Sniper is in wide-release beginning today, January 16th. It should be available for rental and purchase in April. In Madison: Eastgate Cinemas, Point Cinemas, AMC Star Fitchburg, Sundance 608(more…)
Directed by: Ava DuVernay Written by: Paul Webb Starring: David Oyelowo, Carmen Ejogo, Tom Wilkinson
I have to admit, this movie was very good, but I didn’t love it. It’s weaknesses are few and far between but it did NOT earn the 100% score it received on Rotten Tomatoes prior to its wide release.
Selma is the story of Martin Luther King Jr’s march from Selma, Alabama to Montgomery in protest of voter discrimination laws in the state. Hundreds of people joined King on this march which at one point resulted in televised barbaric beatings of his supporters. (more…)
The last of my picks and predictions for the films that will be recognized at The Golden Globes.
I have to note- there’s an excessive love for Birdman on this list, which I absolutely think it deserves…BUT- Whiplash was shamefully snubbed and isn’t a contender in a few categories where I think it could have won. Stupid Hollywood Foreign Press Association.
I’ll be relentlessly live tweeting during the ceremony on Sunday.
Best Motion Picture – Drama Boyhood Foxcatcher The Imitation Game Selma The Theory of Everything
Should Win: Boyhood Could Win: ……………
I really can’t see anything other than Boyhood winning. The Theory of Everything is a solid film with great performances, Selma is a beautifully photographed and well acted movie, Foxcatcher has gotten questionable reviews; and while I really liked The Imitation Game the ambition of the project doesn’t match the risk that was taken making Boyhood. (more…)